Nifty Intraday Trading Under Krishna Shukla Pratipada Tithi
- Sagar Chaudhary
- Sep 3
- 5 min read
✍️ Written by Sagar Chaudhary 📱 +1 (438) 448-6881 🐦 @ganntradeing
W.D. Gann once declared, “The future is but a repetition of the past, and the past is but a reflection of the future.” If one is to truly understand market movements, one must learn the hidden laws that govern both nature and price. Among these natural laws, time divisions of the Moon play a crucial role.
In Indian Vedic astrology, two of the most important divisions are Tithi and Paksha. These are not mere religious constructs but precise astronomical cycles that repeat with mathematical regularity. If the market is a living organism vibrating to the laws of time, then the beginning of each Paksha—S 01 (Shukla Pratipada) and K 01 (Krishna Pratipada)—marks a critical point of initiation.
Just as the Moon begins waxing or waning, the market also begins a subtle cycle of accumulation or distribution. My research on Nifty confirms this principle with measurable intraday patterns. In this chapter, I will walk you through the deeper meaning of these cycles, the statistical evidence from actual Nifty data, and most importantly, how traders can harness this knowledge for intraday, swing, and options trading.
Understanding Tithi and Paksha
What is Tithi? A Tithi is defined as the time it takes for the angular distance between the Moon and the Sun to increase by 12°. Since the Moon takes roughly 29.5 days to orbit Earth, there are 30 Tithis in each lunar month. Each Tithi carries its own symbolic meaning and psychological vibration.
For trading purposes, I categorize them into phases of optimism, neutrality, weakness, or strength. Among them, the Pratipada (first Tithi) is always critical, because it signals the birth of a new vibration.
What is Paksha? A lunar month is divided into two Pakshas (fortnights):
Shukla Paksha – the waxing phase of the Moon, from New Moon to Full Moon. Symbolizes expansion, optimism, and accumulation.
Krishna Paksha – the waning phase of the Moon, from Full Moon to New Moon. Symbolizes contraction, release, and distribution.
Thus, the very first Tithi of Shukla Paksha (S 01) and the first Tithi of Krishna Paksha (K 01) act as starting points of new psychological and financial vibrations.
S 01 = the beginning of growth.
K 01 = the beginning of decline.
These cycles do not guarantee price direction every single time, but they tilt the probability, just as the tides rise and fall in harmony with the Moon.
Data Evidence: How Nifty Behaves
To transform this theory into practical trading rules, I analyzed several years of Nifty data where I mapped the opening days under K 01 and S 01.
The results are eye-opening:-
Tithi–Paksha | Avg. Open → Close | Avg. Prev Close → Today Close | Avg. Gap (Prev Close → Today Open) | Observations |
K 01 | –0.17% (intraday bearish) | +0.02% (flat vs prev close) | +0.19% (gap-up tendency) | 80 |
S 01 | +0.06% (intraday bullish) | +0.14% (positive drift) | +0.08% (mild gap-up) | 78 |
Key Findings
K 01 (Krishna Paksha Pratipada):
Nifty tends to open higher but then loses strength intraday.
Intraday average is negative (–0.17%), confirming weakness.
Close relative to previous day is almost flat (+0.02%), showing distribution.
S 01 (Shukla Paksha Pratipada):
Nifty tends to open quietly (small gaps).
Gains build intraday, leading to stronger closes.
Positive bias in both intraday (+0.06%) and relative to previous close (+0.14%).
This pattern matches the lunar symbolism perfectly:
Krishna Paksha = Distribution, weakness.
Shukla Paksha = Accumulation, strength.
Gann’s Law of Vibration and Lunar Cycles
W.D. Gann repeatedly stated: “Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law.” He emphasized that time is the most important factor. What is time if not the motion of celestial bodies?
The Moon, with its waxing and waning halves, directly influences human psychology. Traders, being human, reflect these vibrations in their decisions.
K 01: As the Moon begins to wane, optimism at the open is false. Distribution sets in, leading to weakness by close.
S 01: As the Moon begins to wax, quiet confidence builds. Even if the open is dull, strength appears by close.
This is the Law of Vibration in action: the outer motion of the Moon reflects the inner motion of market psychology.
Intraday Psychology of K 01 vs. S 01
K 01 (Krishna Paksha)
Morning Trap: The market opens gap-up (+0.19%) giving a false sense of strength.
Selling Pressure: Big players use the higher open to distribute.
End Result: By 3:30 PM, the market closes below open.
Trader’s emotion: Hope at 9:15 → Anxiety by 1:00 → Disappointment at 3:30.
S 01 (Shukla Paksha)
Quiet Open: Small gap or flat open (+0.08%).
Accumulation: Buying builds slowly but steadily.
End Result: Market closes above both open and previous close.
Trader’s emotion: Calm at 9:15 → Confidence by noon → Satisfaction at 3:30.
Case Studies from the Past
Case 1: 18 April 2011 – K 01
Open: 5824 → Close: 5729 (–1.63%).
Market gapped up, but relentless selling dominated.
Classic example of distribution on K 01.
Case 2: 29 Aug 2011 – S 01
Open: 4806 → Close: 4919 (+2.36%).
Calm open, powerful close.
A textbook case of accumulation on S 01.
Case 3: 2 June 2011 – S 01
Open: 5529 → Close: 5550 (+0.37%).
Small gain, but consistent strength through the session.
These examples confirm the time signature of each Paksha.
Trading Strategy Blueprint
For K 01 Days
Do not trust the gap-up.
Wait for first hour. Look for reversal signals.
Best setups: VWAP rejections, bearish engulfing candles, RSI divergence.
Suitable for short intraday trades or call option writing.
For S 01 Days
Buy dips after morning consolidation.
Hold longs into close.
Best setups: EMA crossovers, RSI > 50 with trend, bullish engulfing.
Suitable for long intraday trades or bullish option spreads.
Options Strategies
K 01:
Bear Call Spread (sell call, buy higher call).
Intraday scalps on short side.
S 01:
Bull Put Spread (sell put, buy lower put).
Carry long intraday calls if momentum confirms.
Gann Cycles + Tithi Overlap
The effect of K 01 and S 01 intensifies when combined with major cycles:
K 01 on a 90-day Gann cycle date: High chance of reversal.
S 01 on a 180-day cycle date: Strong breakout potential.
This is where time squared with price creates explosive setups.
Extended Observations
Volatility:
K 01 tends to have wider intraday ranges.
S 01 shows smoother, trending moves.
Sectors:
K 01 → Banks, high-beta stocks show reversals.
S 01 → FMCG, defensives lead the rally.
Moon Avastha Filter:
Adding Moon Avastha enhances accuracy. Example:
K 01 + Moon Bala = strongest intraday traps.
S 01 + Moon Yuva = strongest intraday rallies.
Rules to Remember
Rule 1: First Tithi of each Paksha is a time vibration point.
Rule 2: K 01 → strength at open, weakness intraday.
Rule 3: S 01 → calm at open, strength intraday.
Rule 4: Always use technical confirmation with cycle knowledge.
Rule 5: Risk control is the true secret of survival.
The Cycle of Light and Shadow
In my research, I have found that the Moon’s waxing and waning cycles mirror market behavior with uncanny precision.
On K 01, optimism at the open fades into weakness.
On S 01, dull opens give way to strength.
These are not superstitions but time vibrations repeating in harmony with nature. Gann would remind us: “When time is up, the trend changes.”
The trader who understands time cycles—whether from planets, lunar days, or mathematical counts—has foresight. He knows when to expect false moves, when to expect accumulation, and how to align himself with the natural rhythm of the market.
In this, the study of Tithi and Paksha is not optional—it is essential.
30 Years. 0 Losing Months. The most reliable framework for disciplined intraday trading in Nifty.
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